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Bao, Y, Lee, C-H, Heilig, F and Lusk, EJ (2018)

Empirical information on the small size effect bias relative to the false positive rejection error for Benford test-screening

International Journal of Economics and Finance 10(2), pp. 1-9.

ISSN/ISBN: Not available at this time. DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v10n2p1



Abstract: Due to the theoretical work of Hill Benford digital profile testing is now a staple in screening data for forensic investigations and audit examinations. Prior empirical literature indicates that Benford testing when applied to a large Benford Conforming Dataset often produces a bias called the FPE Screening Signal [FPESS] that misleads investigators into believing that the dataset is Non-Conforming in nature. Interestingly, the same FPESS can also be observed when investigators partition large datasets into smaller datasets to address a variety of auditing questions. In this study, we fill the empirical gap in the literature by investigating the sensitivity of the FPESS to partitioned datasets. We randomly selected 16 balance-sheet datasets from: China Stock Market Financial Statements DatabaseTM, that tested to be Benford Conforming noted as RBCD. We then explore how partitioning these datasets affects the FPESS by repeated randomly sampling: first 10% of the RBCD and then selecting 250 observations from the RBCD. This created two partitioned groups of 160 datasets each. The Statistical profile observed was: For the RBCD there were no indications of Non-Conformity; for the 10%-Sample there were no overall indications that Extended Procedures would be warranted; and for the 250-Sample there were a number of indications that the dataset was Non-Conforming. This demonstrated clearly that small datasets are indeed likely to create the FPESS. We offer a discussion of these results with implications for audits in the Big-Data context where the audit In-charge would find it necessary to partition the datasets of the client.


Bibtex:
@article{, author = {Yan Bao and Chuo-Hsuan Lee and Frank Heilig and Edward J. Lusk}, title = {Empirical information on the small size effect bias relative to the false positive rejection error for {Benford} test-screening }, journal = {International Journal of Economics and Finance}, volume = {10}, number = {2}, pages = {1--9}, year = {2018}, doi = {10.5539/ijef.v10n2p1}, url = {http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/72797}, }


Reference Type: Journal Article

Subject Area(s): Economics